Next Selection Sunday
141
Days
19
Hours
57
Minutes
March 14, 2027
2026 NCAA Champion
🏆
Michigan
Big Ten ·
#1 seed
BBI (actual chaos)
9.2 Tame
Pred. BBI (pre-tourney)
9.7
Prediction error
0.5 pts
Field strength (PWP)
77.5%
Predicted vs. Actual Chaos
Pred. BBI (pre-tournament model) vs. BBI (actual madness), 0–100 scale.
| Year | Pred. | Actual | Error | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.7 | 9.2 | 0.5 | Tame |
| 2025 | 11.7 | 6.5 | 5.2 | Chalk Run |
| 2024 | 23.1 | 15.2 | 7.9 | Average |
| 2023 | 26.8 | 20.9 | 5.9 | Wild |
| 2022 | 23.9 | 21.7 | 2.2 | Chaos |
| 2021 | 20.8 | 23.5 | 2.7 | Chaos |
Busted Bracket Index — 1986–2026
How chaotic was each tournament? 0 = perfect chalk, 100 = maximum madness. Dashed line shows the pre-tournament BBI prediction (available 2021+).