01
Saturday
March 2025
Leagues Open
16
Sunday
March 2025
Brackets Set
18
Tuesday
March 2025
Play-ins (Ignore)
20
Thursday
March 2025
Tournament Begins!
12 : 15 PM
22
Saturday
March 2025
Round Two
27
Thursday
March 2025
Round Three
29
Saturday
March 2025
Round Four
05
Saturday
April 2025
Final Four
07
Monday
April 2025
Finals
Cinderella Index
| Seed | Team | Calc Seed | Seed Delta | Nom Wins | Pred Wins | Wins Above Expectation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | 1 | 0 | 2.35 | 3.85 | +1.50 |
| 2 | St. John's | 2 | 0 | 1.77 | 3.11 | +1.34 |
| 1 | Florida | 1 | 0 | 2.35 | 3.64 | +1.29 |
| 5 | Clemson | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2.16 | +1.16 |
| 2 | Michigan St | 2 | 0 | 1.77 | 2.85 | +1.08 |
| 1 | Auburn | 1 | 0 | 2.35 | 3.31 | +0.96 |
| 11 | Drake | 4 | 7 | 0.34 | 1.2 | +0.86 |
| 12 | UC San Diego | 5 | 7 | 0.26 | 0.99 | +0.73 |
Overrated Index
The Overrated Index identifies teams whose stats suggest they are unlikely to live up to their seeding. Bottom 8 ranked by most negative Wins Above Expectation.
| Seed | Team | Calc Seed | Seed Delta | Nom Wins | Pred Wins | Wins Above Expectation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Missouri | 8 | -2 | 0.84 | 0.49 | -0.35 |
| 6 | Brigham Young | 8 | -2 | 0.84 | 0.54 | -0.30 |
| 5 | Michigan | 9 | -4 | 1 | 0.72 | -0.28 |
| 5 | Oregon | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.81 | -0.19 |
| 9 | Georgia | 9 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.37 | -0.13 |
| 6 | Illinois | 11 | -5 | 0.84 | 0.73 | -0.11 |
| 4 | Purdue | 5 | -1 | 1.19 | 1.1 | -0.09 |
| 6 | Mississippi | 11 | -5 | 0.84 | 0.76 | -0.08 |