The statistics and probabilities used on BustedBracket.com are generated by the in-house prediction codes described on this page. Each code has been run for this year's tournament and the linked bracket includes the result of each game's prediction. Note: The codes are re-run after the play-in games are complete.
Adjusted Efficiency
Pace independent measurement of each team's overall offensive and defensive efficiency, weighted for competition by a Kalman filter. The number displayed after each predicted winner is the point spread.
2019 BBI:2.4
Log5
Estimates the probability of each team winning a given game based on predicted win percentage, which is a function of adjusted efficiency and team consistency. The number displayed after each predicted winner is the probability of winning.
2019 BBI: 1.8
Adjusted Four Factors
Uses a kalman filter to adjust each team's four factors (effective field goal percentage, offensive turnover percentage, offensive rebound percentage, and free throw rate. The lower sample size produces a larger BBI than the other codes, but then again, March is mad. The number displayed after each predicted winner is the point spread.
2019 BBI: 7.1