 | #151 Arkansas St |
| Jonesboro, AR - Sun Belt |
2025-2026 Schedule
Note: Game results highlighted in green indicate that the team exceeded expectations, even if it was a loss. Games highlighted in red indicate that the team failed to meet expectations, even if it was a win.
| Date | Opponent | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ |  | Ohio | W 89 - 85 |
| Nov 7 | @ |  | Stephen F. Austin | L 90 - 65 |
| Nov 11 | @ |  | Missouri St | W 86 - 85 |
| Nov 19 | @ |  | #14 Saint Mary's | L 85 - 72 |
| Nov 21 | @ |  | Southern Methodist | L 100 - 69 |
| Nov 24 | vs |  | Jacksonville St | W 74 - 63 |
| Nov 28 | vs |  | North Dakota St | W 85 - 80 (OT) |
| Dec 2 | vs |  | Texas Arlington | W 83 - 63 |
| Dec 6 | @ |  | Little Rock | W 90 - 78 |
| Dec 13 | @ |  | Rice | L 77 - 76 |
| Dec 17 | @ |  | Texas St | W 89 - 70 |
| Dec 20 | @ |  | Southern Miss | W 93 - 86 |
| Jan 3 | vs |  | James Madison | L 78 - 74 |
| Jan 7 | vs |  | Troy | W 86 - 74 |
| Jan 10 | vs | | Texas St | W 83 - 82 |
| Jan 15 | @ |  | South Alabama | L 91 - 87 (OT) |
| Jan 17 | @ | | Troy | L 99 - 74 |
| Jan 22 | @ |  | Georgia Southern | W 85 - 68 |
| Jan 24 | @ |  | Georgia St | L 82 - 81 |
| Jan 28 | vs |  | Old Dominion | L 75 - 71 |
| Jan 31 | vs |  | Marshall | L 70 - 61 |
| Feb 4 | @ |  | Coastal Carolina | W 70 - 66 |
| Feb 7 | vs |  | Bowling Green | W 91 - 54 |
| Feb 11 | vs |  | Louisiana Monroe | W 103 - 70 |
| Feb 14 | vs | | South Alabama | L 92 - 88 (OT) |
| Feb 19 | @ |  | Louisiana | W 79 - 62 |
| Feb 21 | @ | | Louisiana Monroe | W 102 - 94 |
| Feb 24 | vs | | Southern Miss | W 89 - 84 |
| Feb 27 | vs | | Louisiana | W 81 - 58 |
| Mar 5 | (N) | | Georgia Southern | L 80 - 77 |
Stats
| Overall | ||
|---|---|---|
| Record | 18-12 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8 | |
| vs Top 50 | 0-3 | |
| Adj. Predicted Win % | 0.54 [151 nationally, 2nd in Sun Belt] | |
| Adj. Efficiency Delta | 2.1 [150] | |
| Strength of schedule | 226th | |
| Adj. Pace | 73.4 [6] | |
| Avg. Margin | 3.7 [96] | |
| Consistency | 209th | |
| 3-point % | 32.9 [237] | |
| 3-point Ratio | 44.7 [76] | |
| Free Throw % | 73.3 [158] | |
| Offense | Defense | |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 109.6 [150] | 107.5 [172] |
| Adjusted Four Factors - Offense | ||
| Value | Correlation | |
| Effective FG% | 51.1 [196] | 0.79 [252] |
| Offensive Turnover % | 18.9 [322] | -0.31 [246] |
| Offensive Rebound % | 37.1 [24] | 0.32 [189] |
| Free Throw Rate | 40 [75] | -0.07 [287] |
| Adjusted Four Factors - Defense | ||
| Value | Correlation | |
| Opponent Effective FG% | 50.8 [151] | 0.9 [15] |
| Defensive Turnover % | 14.4 [303] | -0.27 [300] |
| Defensive Rebound % | 73.7 [43] | -0.27 [224] |
| Opponent Free Throw Rate | 41.9 [317] | 0.06 [290] |
Note: Kalman filter settling time is responsible for some of the early season variance.