Tournament Probability

"Probability" uses the Log5 method to list each team's odds of making it to a given round. The odds reflect team strength, competitive path, and consistency — the strongest team may not have the best championship odds if it faces tougher competition along the way. Updates after each game. Pre-tournament odds: here.

Table Bracket Win Chances
FinalPre-Tournament
Seed Team 2nd Rnd 3rd Rnd 4th Rnd Final 4 Finals Champ ▼
1Michigan 🏆100%100%100%100%100%100%