 | #32 North Carolina |
| Chapel Hill, NC - ACC |
2025-2026 Schedule
Note: Game results highlighted in green indicate that the team exceeded expectations, even if it was a loss. Games highlighted in red indicate that the team failed to meet expectations, even if it was a win.
| Date | Opponent | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs |  | Central Arkansas | W 94 - 54 |
| Nov 7 | vs |  | #21 Kansas | W 87 - 74 |
| Nov 11 | vs |  | Radford | W 89 - 74 |
| Nov 14 | vs |  | North Carolina Central | W 97 - 53 |
| Nov 18 | vs |  | Navy | W 73 - 61 |
| Nov 25 | (N) |  | St. Bonaventure | W 85 - 70 |
| Nov 27 | (N) |  | #9 Michigan St | L 74 - 58 |
| Dec 2 | @ |  | Kentucky | W 67 - 64 |
| Dec 7 | vs |  | Georgetown | W 81 - 61 |
| Dec 13 | vs |  | USC Upstate | W 80 - 62 |
| Dec 16 | vs |  | East Tennessee St | W 77 - 58 |
| Dec 20 | (N) |  | #23 Ohio St | W 71 - 70 |
| Dec 22 | vs |  | East Carolina | W 99 - 51 |
| Dec 30 | vs |  | Florida St | W 79 - 66 |
| Jan 3 | @ |  | Southern Methodist | L 97 - 83 |
| Jan 10 | vs |  | Wake Forest | W 87 - 84 |
| Jan 14 | @ |  | Stanford | L 95 - 90 |
| Jan 17 | @ |  | California | L 84 - 78 |
| Jan 21 | vs |  | Notre Dame | W 91 - 69 |
| Jan 24 | @ |  | #13 Virginia | W 85 - 80 |
| Jan 31 | @ |  | Georgia Tech | W 91 - 75 |
| Feb 2 | vs |  | Syracuse | W 87 - 77 |
| Feb 7 | vs |  | #3 Duke | W 71 - 68 |
| Feb 10 | @ |  | Miami | L 75 - 66 |
| Feb 14 | vs |  | Pittsburgh | W 79 - 65 |
| Feb 17 | @ |  | North Carolina St | L 82 - 58 |
| Feb 21 | @ | | Syracuse | W 77 - 64 |
| Feb 23 | vs |  | Louisville | W 77 - 74 |
| Feb 28 | vs |  | Virginia Tech | W 89 - 82 |
| Mar 3 | vs |  | Clemson | W 67 - 63 |
| Mar 7 | @ | | #3 Duke | L 76 - 61 |
| Mar 12 | (N) | | Clemson | L 80 - 79 |
| Mar 19 | (N) |  | Virginia Commonwealth | L 82 - 78 (OT) |
Stats
| Overall | ||
|---|---|---|
| Record | 24-9 | |
| vs Conference | 12-7 | |
| vs Top 50 | 7-6 | |
| Adj. Predicted Win % | 0.823 [32] | |
| Adj. Efficiency Δ | 21.1 [31] | |
| Strength of schedule | 41st | |
| Adj. Pace | 68.7 [143] | |
| Avg. Margin | 8.1 [39] | |
| Consistency | 277th | |
| 3-point % | 34.2 [162] | |
| 3-point Ratio | 42.2 [132] | |
| Free Throw % | 68.2 [322] | |
| Offense | Defense | |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 119.4 [41] | 98.3 [30] |
| Adjusted Four Factors - Offense | ||
| Value | Correlation | |
| Effective FG% | 56.7 [38] | 0.82 [172] |
| Offensive Turnover % | 13.5 [21] | -0.31 [241] |
| Offensive Rebound % | 31.2 [141] | 0.26 [239] |
| Free Throw Rate | 39.9 [74] | 0.4 [39] |
| Adjusted Four Factors - Defense | ||
| Value | Correlation | |
| Opponent Effective FG% | 46.8 [27] | 0.91 [8] |
| Defensive Turnover % | 14.6 [291] | -0.26 [304] |
| Defensive Rebound % | 74.8 [20] | 0 [364] |
| Opponent Free Throw Rate | 22.5 [3] | 0.14 [207] |
Note: Kalman filter settling time is responsible for some of the early season variance.