 | #53 North Carolina St |
| Raleigh, NC - ACC |
2025-2026 Schedule
Note: Game results highlighted in green indicate that the team exceeded expectations, even if it was a loss. Games highlighted in red indicate that the team failed to meet expectations, even if it was a win.
| Date | Opponent | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs |  | North Carolina Central | W 114 - 66 |
| Nov 7 | vs |  | UAB | W 94 - 70 |
| Nov 12 | vs |  | North Carolina Greensboro | W 110 - 64 |
| Nov 17 | vs |  | Virginia Commonwealth | W 85 - 79 |
| Nov 24 | (N) |  | Seton Hall | L 85 - 74 |
| Nov 25 | (N) |  | Boise St | W 81 - 70 |
| Nov 26 | (N) |  | Texas | L 102 - 97 |
| Dec 3 | @ |  | Auburn | L 83 - 73 |
| Dec 6 | vs |  | North Carolina Asheville | W 75 - 63 |
| Dec 10 | vs |  | Liberty | W 85 - 45 |
| Dec 13 | vs |  | #21 Kansas | L 77 - 76 (OT) |
| Dec 17 | vs |  | Texas Southern | W 108 - 72 |
| Dec 21 | (N) |  | Mississippi | W 76 - 62 |
| Dec 31 | vs |  | Wake Forest | W 70 - 57 |
| Jan 3 | vs |  | #13 Virginia | L 76 - 61 |
| Jan 6 | @ |  | Boston College | W 79 - 71 |
| Jan 10 | @ |  | Florida St | W 113 - 69 |
| Jan 17 | vs |  | Georgia Tech | L 78 - 74 |
| Jan 20 | @ |  | Clemson | W 80 - 76 (OT) |
| Jan 24 | @ |  | Pittsburgh | W 81 - 72 |
| Jan 27 | vs |  | Syracuse | W 88 - 68 |
| Jan 31 | @ | | Wake Forest | W 96 - 78 |
| Feb 3 | @ |  | Southern Methodist | W 84 - 83 |
| Feb 7 | vs |  | Virginia Tech | W 82 - 73 |
| Feb 9 | @ |  | Louisville | L 118 - 77 |
| Feb 14 | vs |  | Miami | L 77 - 76 |
| Feb 17 | vs |  | North Carolina | W 82 - 58 |
| Feb 24 | @ | | #13 Virginia | L 90 - 61 |
| Feb 28 | @ |  | Notre Dame | L 96 - 90 (OT) |
| Mar 2 | vs |  | #3 Duke | L 93 - 64 |
| Mar 7 | vs |  | Stanford | L 85 - 84 |
| Mar 11 | (N) | | Pittsburgh | W 98 - 88 |
| Mar 12 | (N) | | #13 Virginia | L 81 - 74 |
| Mar 17 | (N) | | Texas | L 68 - 66 |
Stats
| Overall | ||
|---|---|---|
| Record | 20-14 | |
| vs Conference | 11-9 | |
| vs Top 50 | 4-11 | |
| Adj. Predicted Win % | 0.764 [53] | |
| Adj. Efficiency Δ | 20.5 [35] | |
| Strength of schedule | 26th | |
| Adj. Pace | 69.4 [108] | |
| Avg. Margin | 6.9 [51] | |
| Consistency | 362nd | |
| 3-point % | 38.8 [5] | |
| 3-point Ratio | 43.2 [110] | |
| Free Throw % | 76.8 [36] | |
| Offense | Defense | |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 124.1 [21] | 103.6 [90] |
| Adjusted Four Factors - Offense | ||
| Value | Correlation | |
| Effective FG% | 57.3 [25] | 0.91 [9] |
| Offensive Turnover % | 12.3 [7] | -0.37 [198] |
| Offensive Rebound % | 29.7 [197] | 0.47 [58] |
| Free Throw Rate | 36.3 [148] | 0.24 [123] |
| Adjusted Four Factors - Defense | ||
| Value | Correlation | |
| Opponent Effective FG% | 51 [162] | 0.87 [65] |
| Defensive Turnover % | 17.9 [87] | -0.55 [66] |
| Defensive Rebound % | 71.4 [124] | -0.31 [195] |
| Opponent Free Throw Rate | 34.7 [186] | 0.11 [235] |
Note: Kalman filter settling time is responsible for some of the early season variance.